Wednesday, August 24, 2005

Loosey Goosey Loans

One of the less explored angles of the recent housing booms has been the decline in lending standards. Loan officers in California and others familiar with the situation there tell me that they routinely give interest only loans and loans based on stated incomes that banks do not verify at all. See California's Home Boom Looks Like A Bubble But the question is why. Don't the banks want to make sure they are repaid?

Amazingly, the answer is they may not care. A article in today's Wall Street Journal puts a number on the selling of loans. It says: "U.S. lenders will make about $2.8 trillion in home-mortgage loans this year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The MBA estimates that about 80% of these loans will end up in mortgage-backed securities. Mortgage-backed securities outstanding at the end of the first quarter totaled $4.61 trillion, up 61% since the end of 2000. In the same period, total Treasury securities outstanding grew 35% to $4.54 trillion."

Once the bank sells the loan, repayment is not a big issue. From the borrower's pint of view, many assume that if payments get difficult, they will simply re-sell at a profit. It's all reminiscent of the Tom Lehrer line about Verner Von Braun: "Once the bombs go up who cares where they come down? That's not my department." See also: Fresh Pricks In Housing Bubble.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Your blog is very cool. I have a site http://top-personals.net related to swinger site, take a look if you are looking for personals.
It is very interesting blog. I found a nice site similar to this topic and swinger site.